Reports from a number of news sources are indicating that the Libyan authorities have announced that an air strike on a house has killed Saif al Arab Gaddafi, the youngest son of the Muammar Gaddafi.
A few thoughts;
If the intention was to eliminate both of them should they not have used multiple or larger munitions, opportunities like this do not presenht themselves very often so when you only have one shot you should make it count!
That by the way, was said with tongue firmly in cheek, there are a million factors that influence what weapons are deployed and without knowing the facts it is a bit churlish to moan, perhaps it was just bad luck that the 4th bomb did not explode.
What dropped them?
[TD: in an earlier revision I wondered if it was a B2 but this was just a wild guess and a bit of idle speculation, it might have been a cruise missile or weapon delivered by any NATO aircraft]
What if the target was the next generation not Muammar Gaddafi or maybe it was Muammar,?
What is the next move?
NATO is upping the ante, clearly on shaky ground in terms of UN1973 although the carefully observed stance of attacking command and control facilities remains a viable fig leaf, the rebels seem to be gaining the upper hand in Misrata, Exercise Cougar 11 is making plenty of noise around Cyprus and even the Italians are about to chip in now the outcome is more assured.
I still think he is not going to go without a fight but no doubt this strike sends a strong message, he is a hunted man and when backed into a corner dictators can do unpredictable things.
The best outcome would be a negotiated exile and swift transition to a new government that retains existing borders but some form of messy partition seems the most likely and this is far from ideal.
A dictator with a grudge, lots of oil, a track record of funding/supplying terrorist organisations and the remnants of a chemical weapons arsenal is not something the Europe would like to have on its southern border.