FDR – Maritime Futures Part 1

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I have to dive in and write this piece for ThinkDefence being ex-Navy, there you go, how was that for up front disclosure and transparency !

However I am also been a soldier, and as a life long plane spotter I am also a proponent of air power, so hopefully I can provide a balanced, although maritime centered viewpoint.

Threats

I started to cover the potential threats to the UK’s maritime interests already in my comments to this posting: http://www.thinkdefence.co.uk/2009/12/fdr-all-at-sea/

If the future defence review proceeds in a logical and sensible manner, the threats to UK interests should be discussed and determined and integrated with stated UK foreign policy.

OK, now we have the ‘fairy tale’ scenario out of the way, I will integrate some discussion of the threat into this paper, which is really based around of a view of capabilities and assets.

Major capabilities

What 2 major capabilities do we provide that most if not all of the NATO allied navies (except the USN of course) do not currently have ?

* Strike Carrier with fixed wing aircraft (only France has this capability)
* Major amphibious group including the Royal Marines (although France, Spain, Italy and the Netherlands have amphibious capabilities, they are all smaller)
*SSN

All three of these major ‘capabilities’ are actually ‘systems of systems’ in that they facilitate the provision of multiple different effects as required by the ‘war fighter’ or in support of diplomacy.

So, if they are all expensive, which one should be cut ? Although I have made many arguments about why fixed wing air is good, and why the CV(F) would provide a great capability (flying Sea Gripens ?) I am also of the opinion that if money can still be saved by NOT building these carriers then they should be cut.

If contractual penalties would actually make it more expensive to NOT build them, then they should be completed, but some serious effort should be put into selling the hulls to India (!)

See http://www.thinkdefence.co.uk/2009/12/fdr-supporting-articles/

Why cut the carriers ?

Well because the US has them, the French has one, the Italians and Spanish have STOVL carriers, so in the NATO context we can rely on others to provide the naval air group. However other than the U.S.M.C.  in the shape of the Royal Marines, and the RN’s amphibious ships, the current amphibious capability is a far greater than that available to any other European navy, so we should nurture this capability, and develop it further as it is some thing ‘special’ that we bring to the ‘party’.

Also the FDR discussions on Think Defence so far seem to have a slant towards ‘strategic raiding’ versus long term ‘nation building’ campaigns, amphibious capability appears to be key to such ‘strategic raiding’.

The SSN’s are also a scarce capability, with only France sharing it within Europe. SSN’s are a major weapon of sea control in a major conflict and an very valuable intelligence gathering tool in ‘peace time’; and of course as the preferred launch platform for Tomahawk land attack cruise missiles, they now have a valuable role to play in “limited conflicts”.

Finally of course, as long as we have SSBN’s then we need SSN’s to protect them, but more on that later.

So, to recap before proceeding, the CV(F) programme and its related JCA programme (F35) should be cancelled and the savings channelled back into the ship building programme, so lets examine that next:

Surface combatants

The work horses of the RN (or any ocean going Navy) are the frigates and destroyers. How many of them do we need ? Well if we have no carrier strike group to escort, we need ships to do the following:

* Escort the amphibious groups
* Fulfil global presence requirements – Caribbean, Persian Gulf, South Atlantic
* Fulfil NATO task group requirements – e.g. Anti-terrorist/people trafficking/anti-piracy
* Homeland security

Homeland security is a wide category, this could even include integrating T45′s into air defence (or even missile defence) of the UK, down to security of nuclear subs berthed alongside, nuclear weapons etc.

Instead of laying out a huge amount of analysis on this set of requirements, instead I will lay out what I think can or should be done on a limited budget in the context of what we have, and what we know of existing plans:

Type 45 is our primary air defence ship class

The programme various known at one time or another as the Future Surface Combatant is aimed at replacing:

* T22B3 with a highly capable vessel termed the C1
* T23′s with a less capable unit called termed the C2
* A multi-role vessel to replace MCMV’s / OPV’s and Survey ships termed the C3.

Lets examine each of these in turn:

Type 45 Air defence destroyers

The sunk costs are done and dusted, the building of the hulls is apparently now a very efficient process, so I would like to see at least two added to the build as an outcome of having no carriers, for a grand total of 8 – the current buy of 6 is just not enough.

If you have 1 in long term refit, 1 in short term maintenance, 1 on deployment,  1 on enroute to or from a deployment, then you might have 2 available to provide air defence of a major amphibious task group – not enough !

So a modest increase to 8 would ease things while not breaking the bank.

T45′s should be fitted with Phalanx mounts as T42′s are retired (preferably with SeaRam) and fitted with 8 x Harpoon’s as T23′s are retired.

T22B3 replacement – FSC C1

To lever the sunk costs of the T45 programme, the C1 highly capable ASW focused ship should be a T45 with different sensor and weapon fit. 8 ships without the expensive PAAM’s but with the same VLS suite for the shorter range Aster 15 missile (SAAM system)  with a cheaper radar such as the Thales APAR or the newer Herakles. Also there would be no need for the SM1850 (SMART-L derivate ) 3D surveillance radar.

The Navy Matters site has a page showing past suggestions of either shortened or lengthened variants of the T45 hull (see http://navy-matters.beedall.com/mvd.htm) however I would keep the hull identical except for any tailoring of the fan tail / quarter deck area required to fit the Type 2087 towed array sonar, as this would keep the manufacturing costs down.

As well as the standard fittings for the Merlin HM1 and the above mentioned towed array, I would fit a battery of 8 Harpoon missiles where the 3D surveillance radar is currently fitted. These missiles would again be taken from retiring T23′s.

T23 replacement – FSC C2

OK, time to get a little contentious, I would suggest licensing of the Danish Absalon Support Ship design to build the C2 ‘general purpose’ frigate. I would make some minimal changes to the design of the ship, getting rid of at least half of the ‘flex deck’ probably ending the flex deck at the forward end of the hanger.

The extra space could be used for a large and well equipped sick bay, a small ‘flag command’ area and additional communal spaces for the crew, as these assets are going to be ‘sweated’ with lots of long deployments !

The rear part of the flex deck would be retained, but to save money I am not suggesting the RN buy two Combat Boat 90E for each C2 frigate, but the rear boat launch and recovery facilites could still be used with large RHIBS (or for RHIB based MCM or ASW Unmanned Surface Vehicles.) The Danes have kept the costs of these ships and their Iver Hutfeild class ‘cousins’ down very well, by not gold plating them.

So the RN version would stick with the SMART-S as the main radar and could even use the same combat system as the Danish vessels. I would add the new Common Anti-Air Missile that is being developed as a Sea Wolf and Rapier replacement as the main anti-air and anti missile system, plus two Phalanx / SeaRam mounts, and 16 x KDA NSM3 missiles for anti-ship and land attack.

These ships have Chinook sized flight deck, a hanger sized for 2 Merlins and we could probably add a lift in the hanger down to the flex deck, so maybe additional small UAV’s (Scheibel Camcopter for example) could be carried.

The Absalon has a crew of 100 plus accommodation for an additional 70 crew, while I am not sure that the ships flight is included in that 100, if carrying two Merlins equates to a ships flight of 25, then 45 extra’s might include an platoon of RM, an RN ‘board and search’ team, a ‘Flag Command’ staff, additional medical staff etc, whatever is required for the mission at hand.

So, hopefully staying away from any gold plating, we could afford 12 of these ships.

FSC C3 – the ‘everything else’ replacement…….

The C3 is envisioned as a multi-role vessel that can do deployed MCM, take over the role of survey vessels such as HMS Enterprise, and also replace the OPV’s. The BMT Venator is an interesting design for this type of ship, and you can go and read up on it here: http://www.bmtdsl.co.uk/Documents& Resources/?/188/2642/2642

Even if you don’t like this particular design, it does show what might be possible, and it also shows that the decline of the specific MCM ship is complete. This appears to be OK, as there no longer seems to be a discernible mining threat to the UK’s ports and waters (?). We might be able to afford between 9 and 12 of these ships ?

One note on these vessels – I would not equip them with a folding hanger and capabilities to operate the Lynx helicopter – I would buy MQ8B UAV’s instead. This would allow us to retire the Lynx and have a single type fleet based on the Merlin, as all the major surface vessels are big enough to carry and operate them. This would include buying new Merlins to be fitted with the radar from the SeaKing AEW & C aircraft.

Surface combatants totals

So we would end up with:

* 8 x T45
* 8 x T46 C1
* 12 x T24 C2

For a total of 28 major surface units – still less than the previous SDR mandated 32, but hopefully with no carriers, no F35′s and the use of existing designs, this could be affordable. It would certainly be a highly flexible force, with excellent accommodation facilitating long deployment cycles.

Amphibious shipping, 3 Commando Brigade and Support helicopters

To keep the budget down I don’t make any suggested enhancements to the amphibious flotilla, other than to ensure they are all fitted with better defensive armament capability. As noted at the beginning of this piece the amphibs and the Commando Brigade are a key capability that we poses that others don’t and in order to fully support the ‘real word’ use of these assets we must invest in helicopters, specifically in replacing the Sea King MK4 ‘Junglie”.

For commonality this should be a folding tail Merlin HC3 derivative.

It will obviously be declared to the Joint Helicopter Command and thus does not just impact on amphib ops, but on all deployed UK forces operations. However there must always be enough of them on hand to have at least 14 available to fly from HMS Ocean as required. As for the Ocean, I would ensure she gets the ‘service life’ extension or refits required to keep her in service.

Maybe we can replace with 1 or even 2 vessels when the budget is less constrained.

The one blue sky element I would suggest, is a little investment in hovercraft.

The UK has to major manufacturers of diesel hovercraft that are exported all over the world. Griffon Hovercraft provide the small Griffon 2000TD craft as used by the Royal Marines already.

However they have also supplied Sweden with the larger Griffon 8100TD wich has ballistic protection, NBC filtering, can carry a Viking armoured vehicle or around 80 fully equipped marines. See http://www.griffonhoverwork.com/products/8

Griffon have recently purchased (or merged with) British Hovercraft, so on the same site you can see their craft such as the BHT160 which are available in well deck configurations able to carry up to 20 tonnes, see: http://www.griffonhoverwork.com/products/11

So I think a modes investment in these vehicles would vastly improve our over the horizon amphibious raiding capability, our general littoral abilities, and even our ‘brown water’ ops if required.

In part 2 and 3 of this series I will examine the submarine fleet and the RFA support flotilla respectively.

JED CAWTHORNE

Editors note

In this post Jed pre empts many of the issues in the ThinkDefence FDR series, more to follow

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